World Market for Consumer Foodservice

October 2024

Consumer foodservice posted growth in 2023 despite uncertain economic conditions and high inflation in many markets. In some, high prices have led to slowing transactions growth and growing transaction sizes. In others, deals offered by restaurants hoping to attract consumers have driven transaction sizes down. Overall, globally consumers are looking for value for money, not only in terms of lower prices, but in terms of buying unique and specialised experiences for every dollar they spend.

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Key findings

New recovery in Asia, market recovers value wise overall

The consumer foodservice industry continues to recover globally, pushed forward by strong growth in the Asia Pacific region following the lifting of COVID-era restrictions. High inflation in many markets globally has spurred value sales recovery in current terms to 2019 levels, but constant sales will not recover until 2025.

Inflation and menu price increases lead to slowed transaction growth

High inflation in many markets leading to high prices and wider economic uncertainty have caused mixed effects. While across the board consumers are looking for value, in some markets this has led to decreased spend per transaction as brands offer deals. In others, transaction size is growing as prices have increased and consumers have cut back on eating out.

Persistent labour shortages and tech to help

Following dramatic shifts in the labour market during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic and increased wages, many markets have struggled to fill positions. To address these concerns many restaurants have looked to implement technology that can cut down on labour requirements.

Personalisation and loyalty

The ever-increasing digitalisation of the foodservice industry has allowed consumers to connect with their favourite brands online. This has led to innovation in online loyalty programmes and demand from consumers for personalisation.

Chained LSR continues global expansion to new markets, secondary cities

Top chains continue to expand globally through outlet development. As this competition remains high, brands are looking to gain first-mover advantage in untapped markets in Asia, the Middle East and Africa, oftentimes targeting second-tier cities without a large chained restaurant presence.

Our expert’s view of Consumer Foodservice
Consumer Foodservice value sales
Key findings
Top market opportunities/trends
Top trends more detail: Opportunities they present
Drivers of consumer markets and impact on consumer foodservice
Adjacent industries…
Recovery from COVID-19 continues despite slowing transactions growth
Full-service remains largest category overall despite limited-service strength in key markets
China’s recovery fuels overall growth of Asia Pacific
Full-service restaurants continue recovery, with Middle East showing key growth potential
Chained growth supports the world’s largest markets
Development focuses on smaller footprints and developing drive throughs
Consolidation reverses as independents recover from pandemic-related declines
McDonald’s remains most dominant player and plans swift international expansion
Key brands plan aggressive international expansion and cater to local palates
Specialist coffee and tea shops continue their takeover of the Chinese market
SWOT analysis
Opportunities for growth
Scope

Consumer Foodservice

Consumer foodservice is composed of cafés/bars, full-service restaurants, limited-service restaurants, self-service cafeterias and street stalls/kiosks.

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